Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.000044 0.000048 0.000052 0.000057 0.000062 0.000068 0.000075
2025-11-30 0.000038 0.000043 0.000049 0.000056 0.000065 0.000074 0.000086
2025-12-07 0.000033 0.000039 0.000046 0.000054 0.000064 0.000076 0.000091
2025-12-14 0.000030 0.000036 0.000043 0.000052 0.000063 0.000077 0.000095
2025-12-21 0.000027 0.000033 0.000040 0.000050 0.000062 0.000078 0.000099
2025-12-28 0.000024 0.000030 0.000038 0.000048 0.000061 0.000078 0.000101
2026-01-04 0.000022 0.000028 0.000036 0.000046 0.000059 0.000077 0.000103
2026-01-11 0.000021 0.000027 0.000035 0.000045 0.000060 0.000079 0.000109
2026-01-18 0.000021 0.000027 0.000035 0.000046 0.000062 0.000085 0.000118
2026-01-25 0.000023 0.000030 0.000040 0.000055 0.000076 0.000107 0.000154
2026-02-01 0.000021 0.000028 0.000038 0.000052 0.000074 0.000104 0.000154
2026-02-08 0.000020 0.000027 0.000036 0.000051 0.000072 0.000104 0.000157
2026-02-15 0.000019 0.000026 0.000036 0.000052 0.000075 0.000111 0.000171
2026-02-22 0.000018 0.000025 0.000035 0.000051 0.000076 0.000114 0.000182
2026-03-01 0.000017 0.000023 0.000033 0.000049 0.000074 0.000113 0.000184
2026-03-08 0.000015 0.000022 0.000031 0.000047 0.000072 0.000112 0.000186
2026-03-15 0.000014 0.000021 0.000030 0.000045 0.000070 0.000112 0.000189
2026-03-22 0.000013 0.000019 0.000028 0.000043 0.000068 0.000110 0.000190
2026-03-29 0.000012 0.000018 0.000027 0.000041 0.000066 0.000108 0.000191
2026-04-05 0.000012 0.000018 0.000026 0.000041 0.000066 0.000111 0.000199
2026-04-12 0.000012 0.000017 0.000026 0.000042 0.000069 0.000118 0.000217
2026-04-19 0.000013 0.000020 0.000031 0.000050 0.000085 0.000150 0.000289
2026-04-26 0.000012 0.000019 0.000029 0.000047 0.000082 0.000146 0.000286